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Rent or buy a house in India: the price growth that decides

For a ₹1 crore flat renting at ₹30,000, buying wins only if prices rise over 8.4% a year. See the net-worth race, the hidden costs and your own break-even.

7 min read

"Rent is dead money." Every Indian family has heard it. But the EMI is mostly interest for years, stamp duty never comes back, and the down payment could have been invested instead.

So which leaves you richer? We ran a ₹1 Cr flat through our rent-or-buy calculator to find out.

The two paths, set up fairly

Buy: pay 20% down plus 7% for stamp duty, registration and other costs, ₹27 L in all on day one. Borrow the rest at 8.5% for 20 years, an EMI of ₹69,426. Pay 0.5% a year in maintenance and property tax.

Rent: pay ₹30,000 a month, rising 5% a year. Invest the ₹27 L you didn't spend on day one, and every month invest the gap between the EMI and the rent. Investments earn 11% a year.

Both paths spend the same cash every month. The only question is what you own at the end.

Who ends up richer

Figure 1 from the Rent vs buy calculator

What you own: buying a ₹1 Cr flat vs renting it and investing the difference

  • Rent and invest the difference
  • Buy with a home loan

How to read it

  1. 1After 5 years the renter is ₹21.73 L ahead. The buyer's line starts low because stamp duty and costs are gone on day one, and early EMIs are mostly interest.
  2. 2By year 15 the renter's lead has grown to ₹1.06 Cr. The shaded gap is that lead. At the end (labels on the right) it's ₹4.77 Cr renting against ₹2.6 Cr buying, the home counted after selling costs.
Open this scenario in the Rent vs buy calculator
What you own if you move out after…, ₹1 Cr flat at 5% price growth
StayBuyRent and investAhead
5 years₹54.57 L₹76.3 LRent
10 years₹1.04 Cr₹1.53 CrRent
15 years₹1.7 Cr₹2.76 CrRent
20 years₹2.6 Cr₹4.77 CrRent

The main reason is rental yield. The flat rents for ₹3,60,000 a year, just 3.6% of its price, while the loan costs 8.5%. Living in the home is cheap to rent and expensive to own, so the renter has lakhs more to invest every year. In big cities rental yields are often only 2–3.5%, which tilts it further towards renting.

The price growth that flips it

Everything turns on how fast the home's price grows.

  • Below 8.4% a year: renting and investing ends ahead.
  • Above it: buying ends ahead, because the whole ₹1 Cr is growing, not just your down payment.

The RBI tracks home prices across big cities using banks' home-loan data.[1] Its all-India index rose only about 2–3% a year in its recent readings[2][3], well below the break-even. Some cities and boom years have run far faster, and your flat isn't the average. That's why you should use your own city's numbers.

Try it with your numbersRent or Buy?

Put in the flat you're looking at and its real rent. The break-even price growth updates as you type.

Reasons to buy the numbers don't count

  • Security. No landlord asking you to leave, no rent hike every 11 months.
  • Forced savings. An EMI is hard to skip; a SIP is easy to stop. The renter only wins if they actually invest the difference.
  • Freedom to change the home. Renovations, pets, schools nearby for 15 years.

These are real. Just know what they cost you in rupees before you decide. If you do buy, the home loan EMI calculator shows how fast the principal falls.

What this doesn't mean

  • Your city differs. Rental yields, stamp duty (5–7% in most states) and price growth vary a lot.
  • Returns aren't steady. 11% is a long-run average for equity-heavy investing, not a promise.
  • Tax matters. In the old regime, home-loan interest earns a 24(b) deduction, which helps the buyer. The calculator includes it.

Buyer's net worth: home value after 2% selling costs, minus the loan left, plus any investments. Renter's: investments after LTCG. Rent rises yearly; investments compound monthly. New tax regime. For illustration only, not investment advice.

Sources

Common questions

Is it better to rent or buy a house in India?
It depends on how fast prices rise and what your savings earn. For a ₹1 Cr flat renting at ₹30K a month, buying wins over 20 years only if prices rise faster than about 8.4% a year, with investments earning 11%.
What is rental yield and why does it matter?
Yearly rent divided by the home's price. At 3.6% renting is cheap next to an 8.5% home loan, so the renter has more to invest each month. Big-city flats often yield only 2 to 3.5%.
What costs do people forget when buying a home?
Stamp duty and registration (about 5 to 7% in most states), brokerage, interiors, maintenance and property tax each year, and brokerage again when you sell. Here, buying costs alone are ₹7 L.
Does the rent vs buy answer change if I stay only 5 years?
Short stays favour renting even more, because stamp duty and selling costs are spread over fewer years and the home has less time to rise in value.

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